*DXY as forecasted achieved the 78 handle.
*This manifested on our screens this week and was mainly due to the Leadership of EURUSD to the upside above the long awaited StopHunt over 1.3497,there were still many undercurrents of coming USD strength.The undercurrents came in the form of risk aversion pairs USDCAD, USDJPY and USDCHF staging rather dramatic advances in the face of DXY weakness throughout most of the trading week.
*One reason of course is the upside leader EURUSD has the heaviest weighting in the DXY basket, but I suspect big players are beginning to take off risk and are also hedging as multiple asset classes are breaking down and or topping.(ForexStopHunters)
*U.S. DOLLAR INDEX: Dropped nearly 1% on Friday to 78.12, which would mark its lowest close since November 12.
Code:
http://img593.imageshack.us/img593/2894/big11jan231133.png
Full size.
"P&F
_DXY10080 Box Size1 70X3 or(5.33%) HI/LO
Data 120.51 - 70.7
~ 215.72 Month ~ 6566 Day
Database 939 records 78.14 (Last Close)
1993-01-24 00~00 ~ 17.98 Years
2011-01-16 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris
BJF Trading Group
MDunleavy chart"
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120.7|~17O||________________________+___+_________ __________________|-0.16%|70.72%
119.0|~34O||____________________+___x_o_x_+_______ __________________|1.25%|68.32%
117.3|~51O||____________________x_+_x_o_x_o_+_____ __________________|2.66%|65.91%
115.6|~68O||____________________x_o_x_o_x_o___+___ __________________|4.07%|63.51%
113.9|~85O||____________________x_o_x_o_x_o_____+_ __________________|5.49%|61.1%
112.2|~1O2O|____________________x_o_x_o___o_______ +_________________|6.9%|58.7%
110.5|~119O|____________________x_o_x_____o_______ __+_______________|8.31%|56.29%
108.8|~136O|____________________x_o_______o_______ ____+_____________|9.72%|53.89%
107.1|~153O|____________________x_________o_______ ______+___________|11.13%|51.49%
105.4|~17OO|________________+___x_________o_______ ________+_________|12.54%|49.08%
103.7|~187O|____________+___x_+_x_________o_______ __________+_______|13.95%|46.68%
102.0|~2O4O|________+___x_+_x_o_x_________o_______ ____________+_____|15.36%|44.27%
100.3|~221O|________x_+_x_o_x_o_x_________o_______ ______________+___|16.77%|41.87%
98.60|~238O|____+___x_o_x_o_x_o_________+_o_x_____ ________________+_|18.18%|39.46%
96.90|~255O|____x_+_x_o_x_o_x_________+___o_x_o___ __________________|19.59%|37.06%
95.20|~272O|+___x_o_x_o___o_x_______+_____o_x_o___ __________________|21%|34.65%
93.50|~289O|x_+_x_o_x_____o_______+_______o_+_o___ __________________|22.41%|32.25%
91.80|~3O6O|__o_x_o_x___________+_________+___o_x_ __x_______________|23.82%|29.84%
90.10|~323O|__o_x_o_x_________+_______________o_x_ o_x_o_____________|25.23%|27.44%
88.40|~34OO|__o_+_o_x_______+_________________o_x_ o_x_o_x___x___x___|26.65%|25.04%
86.70|~357O|__+___o_x_____+___________________o_x_ o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_|28.06%|22.63%
85.00|~374O|______o_x___+_____________________o_+_ o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_|29.47%|20.23%
83.30|~391O|______o_x_+_______________________+___ o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_|30.88%|17.82%
81.60|~4O8O|______o_+_____________________________ o_+_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_|32.29%|15.42%
79.90|~425O|______+_______________________________ +___o_x_o_x_o_x_o_|33.7%|13.01%
78.20|~442O|====================================== ====o=x=o===o=x=o=|35.11%|10.61%
76.50|~459O|______________________________________ ____o_x_____o_x_o_|36.52%|8.2%
74.80|~476O|______________________________________ ____o_x___+_o_+___|37.93%|5.8%
73.10|~493O|______________________________________ ____o_x_+___+_____|39.34%|3.39%
71.40|~51OO|______________________________________ ____o_+___________|40.75%|0.99%
69.70|~527O|______________________________________ ____+_____________|42.16%|-1.41%
Column||||||1_3_5_9_1_3_4_5_6_3_1_5_6_5_4_1_3_8_4_ 6_6_1_1_6_6_8_8_7_|
Count|||||||________1___________1_________5_______ ____2_O___________|
*But nevertheless! Prediction. Up from 77.74 to 79.58!
BJF Trading Group. Excel Chart. Full size.